Macro × Emerging markets

IMF Cuts 2026 Global Growth to 3.1% in 'Shadow of War' Outlook

The IMF released its April World Economic Outlook on April 14, titled 'Global Economy in the Shadow of War,' cutting its 2026 global growth forecast to 3.1% from the January estimate. Emerging markets revised downward to 3.9% from 4.2%. India's labor and regulatory reforms are expected to offset near-term fiscal deficits, while Mexico improved to 1.5% from 1.0% and Vietnam's electronics manufacturing hub role should sustain growth momentum.

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