U.S. March Headline PCE at 3.5%; Oil Surge Shakes Disinflationary Path

Per Treasury TBAC, March headline PCE rose to 3.5% year-over-year, up 1.1 percentage points from 2.4% a year earlier. Core CPI moderated to 2.6%. Q1 2026 gasoline prices surged 21.2%, reigniting inflation pressure.