Daily briefing · 2026-05-13 (Wed)

CPI 3.8%·Brent $104 KOSPI -2.29%·won at 1,489

U.S.

7Must-read
17Fields
184Sources
★ Must-read

Today's must-read · 7 stories

The most consequential headlines, arranged as one editorial reading flow.

No.01
Macro × Markets × Pain points

U.S. April CPI shock: 3.8% headline, 2.8% core; 10-year at 4.45%, hike odds 30%

BLS reported April CPI on May 12 at headline +0.6% MoM and +3.8% YoY, the highest since May 2023, with core at +0.4% MoM and +2.8% YoY, beating the +3.7% consensus. Energy rose 3.8%, accounting for more than 40% of the headline increase, while gasoline was up 28.4% YoY. Immediately after the release, the 2-year yield rose 3bp to 3.98%, the 10-year rose 4bp to 4.45%, and DXY gained 0.3% to 98.29. CME FedWatch priced year-end hike odds at roughly 30%. The University of Michigan's May consumer sentiment index fell to its lowest level since the survey began in 1978.

No.02
Politics × Energy & climate × Trending now

Trump says ceasefire on 'life support'; Brent $105, Hormuz normalization 'unlikely before 2027'

President Trump dismissed Iran's May 11-12 peace counterproposal as 'garbage' and 'totally unacceptable', warning the ceasefire is on 'life support'. On May 12, Brent closed up 0.73% at $104.97, WTI ended in the $101 range, and average U.S. gasoline topped $4.50 per gallon. Aramco CEO Amin Nasser warned the Hormuz crisis has removed a cumulative 1 billion barrels from global supply, with another 100 million barrels lost each week, and said normalization is unlikely before 2027. The IEA described the shock as the largest supply disruption in oil-market history.

No.03
Markets × Macro × Emerging markets

KOSPI drops 2.29% to 7,643; USD/KRW jumps 17.5 won to 1,489.9, Asia's worst fall

On May 12, KOSPI plunged 179.09 points, or 2.29%, to 7,643.15, ending a five-session record rally and posting the steepest decline among Asian markets. At 3:30 p.m. in Seoul, USD/KRW closed at 1,489.9, up 17.5 won from the prior session, as dollar strength and renewed Middle East risk hit the won together. The S&P 500 slipped 0.16% to 7,400.96 and Nasdaq fell 0.71% to 26,088.20, pulling back from record highs. Europe also sold off: STOXX 600 fell 1.1% to 606 and STOXX 50 dropped 1.4% to 5,815.

No.04
Politics × Tech & AI × Trending now

Trump state visit to Beijing May 13-15 with Musk, Cook, Boeing CEO; trade, Iran, Taiwan on agenda

President Trump arrives in Beijing on May 13 for a bilateral meeting with Xi Jinping, a Temple of Heaven visit, and a state dinner. The U.S. delegation includes Elon Musk, Tim Cook, Boeing's CEO, and more than a dozen business leaders. Trade, Iran sanctions cooperation, and Taiwan are the core agenda items. A senior U.S. official stressed on May 12 that no change is expected in Taiwan policy, while China again blocked Taiwan's participation in the WHA opening May 18.

No.05
Tech & AI × Startups & VC × Markets

Cerebras prices IPO May 13 at up to $48.8B; BXDC seeks $1.75B in AI capital day

AI accelerator maker Cerebras Systems raised its IPO price range on May 11 from $115-125 to $150-160. At 30 million shares, the deal could value the company at up to $48.8B fully diluted and raise $4.8B. More than 20x demand drove the increase; pricing is set for May 13 and Nasdaq listing for May 14 under ticker CBRS. Cerebras posted 2025 revenue of $510M and holds a 750MW compute contract with OpenAI. On the same day, Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust (BXDC) is set to price 87.5M shares at a fixed $20, raising about $1.75B before a May 14 NYSE listing.

No.06
Health & Bio × Markets

BMS-Hengrui signs up-to-$15.2B 13-program deal; Roche pTau217 wins EU CE mark

Bristol Myers Squibb signed a global licensing and co-development agreement on May 12 with China's Hengrui for 13 early-stage oncology, hematology, and immunology programs. The package includes a $600M upfront payment, up to $950M in near-term payments, and a total potential value of $15.2B including milestones and royalties. Hengrui's Hong Kong-listed shares jumped more than 13%. The same day, Roche said its Elecsys plasma pTau217 Alzheimer's test, co-developed with Eli Lilly, received the EU CE mark ahead of a planned July 2026 launch. Lilly also overtook Novo Nordisk in non-U.S. GLP-1 share as overseas Mounjaro revenue reached $87M.

No.07
Labor & HR × Tech & AI × Pain points

Samsung wage talks fail, May 21 strike looms; Meta 8K cuts May 20, U.S. May layoffs near 38K

Bloomberg reported May 12 that Samsung Electronics and its union failed to reach a wage deal after two days of labor-ministry mediation. The National Samsung Electronics Union, representing roughly 30,000 semiconductor workers, is demanding that 15% of AI-boom operating profit be paid as bonuses and that bonus caps be removed. A court decision on Samsung's injunction to block a strike is expected before May 21. At the same time, Meta will cut about 8,000 employees, roughly 10% of staff, on May 20; U.S. employees receive 16 weeks of base pay plus two weeks per year of service and 18 months of COBRA. U.S. announced layoffs totaled roughly 37,000-38,000 in May's first ten days, including Spirit Airlines at roughly 14,000, Cloudflare at 1,100, BILL at up to 30%, and Upwork at about 25%.

▦ Categories

By field

Following the same 17 fields every day separates one-day chatter from durable patterns.

01 · Trending now

Trending now

As the Trump-Xi Beijing summit opens, the U.S., China, Iran, and Israel are all dominating the global news cycle at once. Geopolitics, domestic politics, and demographic stress are breaking into the feed simultaneously.
Trump state visit to Beijing set for May 13-15
President Trump arrives in Beijing on May 13 for a bilateral meeting with Xi Jinping, a Temple of Heaven visit, and a state dinner. The U.S. side is bringing more than a dozen business leaders including Musk, Tim Cook, and Boeing's CEO, with trade, Iran, and Taiwan on the agenda.
Iran ceasefire on 'life support'
Trump dismissed Iran's counterproposal as 'garbage' and warned the ceasefire is on 'life support'. Vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz halted on May 12, sending oil sharply higher again.
Netanyahu coalition nears collapse
The ultra-Orthodox Degel HaTorah party said it can no longer trust Netanyahu and called a vote next week to dissolve parliament. If parliament is dissolved, early elections are expected in September, with a Bennett-Lapid alliance leading polls.
Starmer faces direct resignation pressure
Labour lost 1,496 seats and control of 38 councils in local elections, while Reform UK won more than 1,400 seats. By May 11, 72 Labour MPs had publicly urged Prime Minister Starmer to resign or present a departure timetable.
China Q1 marriages hit record low
First-quarter marriage registrations fell 6.2% year over year to 1.697 million couples, the lowest ever for the period. That is roughly half the 2017 level, and global media framed it as a deepening signal of China's demographic and fertility crisis.
02 · Pain points

Pain points

In week ten of the Iran war, U.S. April CPI jumped to 3.8%, the largest increase in three years, as gasoline, food, and electricity formed a three-front squeeze on households. In Korea, Seoul apartment jeonse prices hit a record 681.5 million won. Big Tech layoffs keep arriving under the AI banner, including Meta's 8,000 and Oracle's 30,000, while ACA enrollment drops 21% and premiums face an average 75% shock.
U.S. April CPI shock at 3.8%; gasoline $4.50/gallon, consumer sentiment record low
Labor Department data showed April CPI up 3.8% YoY, the largest increase in three years, with energy accounting for more than 40% of the monthly gain. AAA regular gasoline topped $4.50 per gallon, roughly 44% higher than a year ago, while the University of Michigan's May consumer sentiment index fell to its lowest level since the survey began in 1978.
76% of U.S. adults cite cost of living as top financial problem; one-third say income often falls short
In a CNN poll, 76% of Americans named cost of living as their biggest financial problem. The share specifically worried about gas prices jumped from 5% a year ago to 23%, while roughly one-third said their income always or usually fails to keep up with expenses. Wage growth fell below April inflation for the first time in three years.
Seoul jeonse hits record 681.5M won; weekly +0.23% revives rental-crunch fears
Average Seoul apartment jeonse reached 681.5 million won, or about $468,000, in April, the highest since records began. In the first week of May, jeonse prices rose 0.23% week over week, the largest gain since November 2015, while sale prices also climbed 0.15%. The May 9 expiration of the capital-gains-tax surcharge suspension for multi-home owners is raising concerns that listings will lock up further.
ACA enrollment drops 21%; subsidy expiry points to 75% average premium jump
ACA enrollment fell 21% across 30 states using the federal marketplace, compared with a 12% drop in the same period last year. As pandemic-era enhanced subsidies expire in December, 2026 premiums are expected to rise 75% on average. KFF estimates average out-of-pocket costs will jump 114%, from $888 to $1,904. Medicaid eligibility reviews are also tightening as work requirements arrive.
AI-driven Big Tech layoffs accelerate: 113,863 cuts in 2026, 863 per day
From January 1 through May 12, 2026, 179 layoff events eliminated 113,863 jobs, an average of 863 cuts per day. Oracle made the largest single cut at 30,000; Meta has another 8,000 planned for May 20; Amazon cut 30,000 over the past five months; and Microsoft used voluntary departures to remove about 125,000. As capex shifts toward AI data centers, GPUs, and robotics, content, customer support, and coding roles are taking the direct hit.
03 · Emerging markets

Emerging markets

Dollar strength and oil volatility from Hormuz tensions are putting uneven pressure on emerging-market currencies, with the Indonesian rupiah and Turkish lira both hitting record lows. At the same time, the MSCI EM index remains relatively strong at +7% YTD, with semiconductor and technology momentum supporting fundamentals.
Rupiah hits record low, breaking 17,500 per dollar
USD/IDR rose 0.55% to 17,516.80 on May 12, marking a new low for the rupiah. With the currency down 2.25% over one month and 5.47% over one year, markets are questioning Bank Indonesia's defense capacity and pricing a possible rate hike from 4.75% to 5.00% in May or June.
Turkish lira hits another record low at 45.4 per dollar
USD/TRY rose 0.14% to 45.3999 on May 12, setting another record low for the lira. The currency is down 1.65% over one month and 17.09% over one year, extending a gradual depreciation trend as Turkey's central bank tries to manage the pace through FX intervention.
MSCI EM index +7% YTD, led by technology
After a 34% return in 2025, the MSCI EM index is up 7% YTD in 2026. TSMC now exceeds a 12% weight and technology tops 30%, approaching S&P 500-like sector exposure. Consensus EPS growth stands at 17%, above developed-market peers.
Argentina prepares return to international bond markets after eight years
With more than $10B in external debt repayments due in the first half of 2026, Argentina is looking to return to international bond markets around midyear if yields compress further. A single January maturity alone totals $4B, making restored fiscal credibility the key condition for market access.
Brazil debt nears 80% of GDP ahead of October election
Brazil's public debt is approaching 80% of GDP ahead of an October election polarized between Lula and Bolsonaro camps, intensifying fiscal concerns. Mexico's post-2024 Sheinbaum playbook of revenue expansion and spending restraint is being discussed as a benchmark for the next governments in Brazil and Colombia.
04 · Macro

Macro

U.S. April CPI reaccelerated above consensus at +3.8% YoY, the highest since May 2023, with core at +2.8%. Oil gains from the Hormuz blockade drove more than 40% of the headline increase, and markets lifted the probability of a Fed hike this year to 30%. The dollar and Treasury yields rose together, while gold saw profit-taking.
U.S. April CPI +3.8% YoY, core +2.8%; highest since May 2023
Headline CPI rose +0.6% MoM and +3.8% YoY, jumping 0.5 percentage points from March's +3.3%. Core rose +0.4% MoM and +2.8% YoY, the fastest monthly core increase since January 2025. Energy gained 3.8%, accounting for more than 40% of the total increase, while gasoline rose 28.4% YoY.
10-year at 4.45%, DXY 98.29; year-end hike bets reach 30%
After the CPI shock, the 2-year yield rose 3bp to 3.98% and the 10-year rose 4bp to 4.45%. DXY gained 0.3% to 98.29. CME FedWatch showed traders lifting the probability of a Fed rate hike by year-end to roughly 30%, while equity futures fell.
Brent tops $105 as Hormuz blockade reignites inflation
WTI rose about 1% to $99.06, while Brent climbed to $105.07. Aramco's CEO warned of roughly 100 million barrels of weekly supply losses. Trump's comment that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire is fragile, plus halted Hormuz traffic, widened the risk premium and added to global inflation pressure.
Fed split 8-4 in April; Powell's final meeting, Warsh confirmation nears
The Fed held rates at 3.5-3.75% for a third straight meeting, but four officials dissented, including Miran's vote for a 25bp cut, marking the largest split since October 1992. The Senate Banking Committee advanced Kevin Warsh's chair nomination, setting up a floor vote in the week of May 11 and raising the possibility that the June 16-17 FOMC will be chaired by a new Fed chief.
Gold retreats from $4,700; BOK expected to signal tightening shift May 28
Spot gold fell 1.22% to $4,678/oz, down 16% from January's record $5,589, as investors took profits. The Bank of Korea held its policy rate at 2.5% for a seventh straight meeting in April, but markets expect new Governor Shin Hyun-song's first May 28 meeting to signal a tightening turn, with the first hike in July and a year-end rate near 3.0%.
05 · Markets

Markets

U.S. April CPI at 3.8% revived inflation fears, while Trump's warning that the Iran ceasefire is fragile pushed oil back above $100 a barrel and spread risk-off sentiment. The S&P 500 retreated from record highs, and KOSPI and the won fell together, lifting volatility across Asian markets.
S&P 500 and Nasdaq close lower on inflation shock
On May 12, the S&P 500 closed down 0.16% at 7,400.96 and Nasdaq fell 0.71% to 26,088.20. The Dow rose 0.11% to 49,760.56, leaving the session mixed, but the key driver was April CPI coming in at 3.8%, above the 3.7% consensus.
KOSPI plunges 2.29%, retreating to 7,643
KOSPI closed May 12 down 179.09 points, or 2.29%, at 7,643.15, ending a five-session advance. Middle East tension and profit-taking hit simultaneously, producing the steepest decline among Asian markets.
USD/KRW jumps to 1,489, won drops 17.5
In Seoul FX trading on May 12, USD/KRW closed at 1,489.9 as of 3:30 p.m., up 17.5 won from the previous close, meaning a sharp drop in the won. Dollar strength and renewed Middle East risk accelerated the move.
U.S. 10-year Treasury yield reaches one-week high near 4.42%
After President Trump rejected Tehran's peace offer and raised doubts about the durability of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose near 4.42% on May 12, a one-week high. Rising inflation risk drove bond selling.
European stocks sell off as Hormuz fears return
On May 12, the pan-European STOXX 600 fell 1.1% to 606 and the eurozone STOXX 50 dropped 1.4% to 5,815. The U.K. FTSE 100 diverged, rising 0.36% to 10,269.43.
Zebra Technologies surges 15.4% on earnings surprise
Asset-tracking technology company Zebra Technologies (ZBRA) surged 15.4% on May 11 after quarterly results beat Wall Street consensus by a wide margin. Amentum Holdings (AMTM) rose 3.4% on its own earnings beat, while the energy ETF XLE gained 2.6% on higher oil.
06 · Rising

Rising

AI and robotics are now the twin pillars of rising trends, reshaping apps, hardware, and capital flows at once. At the same time, social emotions such as loneliness and aging are translating directly into viral apps and content trends, opening a new category of emotion-driven consumption.
China-born 'Are You Dead?' app climbs global charts
A check-in app that automatically alerts contacts if a user fails to confirm they are alive for a set period hit No. 1 in China's App Store and then spread globally. Anxiety around single-person households, aging, and lonely deaths is serving as the viral engine, opening a new emotional-care app category.
New app releases jump 60%, with productivity and utilities rising fast
New app launches across the App Store and Google Play rose 60% YoY in Q1 2026, with iOS alone up as much as 80%. Productivity entered the top five, utilities ranked second, and lifestyle moved from fifth to third, as AI-powered tool apps restart market growth.
Humanoid robots accelerate into a 2026 breakout year
BofA forecasts annual humanoid shipments rising from 90,000 units in 2026 to 1.2 million by 2030, an 86% CAGR. Figure AI reached a $39B valuation after a $1B investment; Tesla targets 100,000 Optimus units in 2026, while BYD targets 20,000 units.
Breakout country artist Stella Lefty takes charts with one song, 'Boston'
Released in February 2026, 'Boston' passed 36 million cumulative Spotify streams and entered major Billboard and Spotify charts simultaneously. TikTok word of mouth powered the country newcomer's explosive debut, making it a template for the new streaming-era debut formula.
AI and healthcare lead May momentum stocks, with SOUN and AMD standing out
SOUN, SIFY, AAPL, and AMD are being cited as May breakout candidates in U.S. equities, with momentum signals concentrated in technology (12), healthcare (11), and industrials (6). Alongside social commerce at 17% of sales and a $70B live-commerce outlook, the AI x consumer theme is drawing capital.
07 · Tech & AI

Tech & AI

AI cybersecurity competition has become a policy issue. OpenAI granted the EU early access to GPT-5.5-Cyber, while Anthropic held back Mythos and drew its defensive line with Opus 4.7. At the same time, Big Tech's 2026 AI capex is set to jump 77% YoY to $725B, and the HBM4 supply chain is reorganizing around NVIDIA.
OpenAI gives EU early access to GPT-5.5-Cyber; Anthropic holds back Mythos
OpenAI agreed on May 11 to give EU regulators early access to its latest model variant, GPT-5.5-Cyber. The same day, Sam Altman unveiled Project Daybreak on Twitter to accelerate cyber defense, while Anthropic kept preview distribution of the more offensive-capable Mythos restricted.
Big Tech 2026 AI capex reaches $725B, up 77% YoY
Combined 2026 capex from Google, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta is set to reach $725B, up 77% from $410B last year. Amazon accounts for $200B, Alphabet $175-185B, Meta $115-135B, and Microsoft $190B on a calendar-year basis. Roughly 75%, or about $450B, is going into AI infrastructure. Microsoft's CFO attributed $25B to higher memory and component costs.
Apple shifts next-generation Foundation Model to Google Gemini
Apple signed a multiyear deal to build its next-generation Foundation Model on Google Gemini. Reports also say Apple is preparing an Extensions feature for iOS 27, iPadOS 27, and macOS 27 that would let users choose third-party AI from Google, Anthropic, and others inside Apple Intelligence. Google Cloud revenue grew 63% YoY to $20.03B in Q1.
NVIDIA HBM4 supply reshuffles: SK Hynix near 70%, Samsung around 30%
For NVIDIA's Vera Rubin platform, SK Hynix is expected to take roughly two-thirds, or about 70%, of HBM4 supply, while Samsung is in final talks with NVIDIA to secure more than 30%. The two firms are competing over 16-Hi HBM4 supply in H2 2026, with wafer thinning from 50 micrometers to 30 micrometers the key hurdle. HBM3E prices are expected to rise about 20% in 2026.
Meta unveils first flagship LLM 'Muse Spark', Superintelligence Labs' first output
Meta unveiled Muse Spark, the first flagship LLM from its new Alexandr Wang-led Superintelligence Labs. The company claims competitive performance in multimodal perception, reasoning, health, and agent tasks at a fraction of the compute cost of comparable mid-sized Llama 4 variants. Meta has budgeted $115-135B for 2026 AI capex, roughly double last year.
08 · Startups & VC

Startups & VC

AI chip contender Cerebras raised its IPO range to $150-160, targeting up to a $48.8B fully diluted valuation and $4.8B in proceeds. Capital is also flowing broadly into space data centers, insurance AI, and seed funds, making the mid-May capital-market recovery increasingly visible.
Cerebras raises IPO range to $150-160, up to $48.8B valuation
AI accelerator company Cerebras raised its IPO range from $115-125 to $150-160 for a 30M-share offering, targeting roughly $4.8B in proceeds at up to a $48.8B fully diluted valuation. More than 20x demand drove the increase. Pricing is scheduled for May 13 and Nasdaq listing for May 14 under ticker CBRS. Cerebras posted $510M in 2025 revenue and holds a 750MW compute contract with OpenAI.
Baiju Bhatt's Cowboy Space raises $275M Series B at $2B valuation
Cowboy Space, formerly Aetherflux, the orbital data-center startup led by Robinhood cofounder Baiju Bhatt, closed a $275M Series B on May 11 led by Index Ventures, with new investors IVP, Blossom Capital, and SAIC plus follow-on backing from a16z, NEA, and Breakthrough Energy Ventures. Post-money valuation is $2B and cumulative funding is about $365M. The company aims to launch its own rocket carrying a 1MW orbital data center by late 2028.
Kevin Hartz's A* closes $450M third seed-only fund
Early-stage VC firm A*, run by Eventbrite cofounder Kevin Hartz and former Coatue investor Bennett Siegel, closed its third fund at $450M on May 12, its largest yet. Following $300M in 2021 and $315M in 2024, the fund keeps a concentrated seed strategy: 30-40 investments per fund, average checks of $3-5M, and target ownership above 10%.
AI insurance startup Corgi raises $160M Series B at $1.3B valuation
Business-insurance AI startup Corgi closed a $160M Series B led by TCV, with Kindred Ventures, Leblon Capital, and First Order Fund participating, at a $1.3B valuation. The round pushes Corgi into unicorn territory and shows capital concentrating around AI underwriting and insurance automation.
Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust to price IPO May 13
Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust (BXDC) is set to price its IPO on May 13 and list on the NYSE on May 14. The trust will offer 87.5M shares at a fixed $20 price, raising about $1.75B. As a digital-infrastructure trust holding AI infrastructure and data-center assets, it brings the AI capital theme directly to public markets alongside Cerebras.
09 · Crypto

Crypto

BTC is moving sideways near $80,860 after being rejected again at the 200-day moving average, while ETH and SOL are both weaker. Policy momentum is being driven by the U.S. Senate's CLARITY Act draft and Korea's FSC proposal to cap exchange ownership stakes at 20%.
BTC drifts near $80,860 after another 200-day MA rejection
Bitcoin traded at $80,860 on May 12, down $363 from the prior day, after failing another attempt to break $82,000. Ahead are the May 14 Senate CLARITY Act hearing, Powell's term expiration on May 15, and CPI/PPI releases.
U.S. Senate releases 309-page digital-asset market CLARITY Act draft
The Senate Banking Committee released a draft Digital Asset Market Clarity Act on May 12. A key dispute is the clause banning passive stablecoin interest payments outside licensed banks. Polymarket is pricing a 75% chance of passage in 2026.
Korea FSC pushes 20% ownership cap for Upbit and Bithumb major shareholders
The Democratic Party's digital-asset task force and the FSC are moving to classify exchanges with more than 11 million users as core infrastructure and impose a 20% ownership cap. Upbit chairman Song Chi-hyung, who holds 25.52%, could face pressure to sell up to 10 percentage points. The May 22 Naver-Dunamu shareholder meeting becomes the pivot.
Bitcoin ETFs see fourth straight week of inflows, $933M weekly
CoinShares' weekly report showed $1.2B flowing into digital-asset products, with BTC absorbing $933M. U.S. spot BTC ETFs saw $1.97B in net inflows in April, the largest of the year, while spot ETH ETFs recorded nine straight days of inflows through April 21.
ETH at $2,284 and SOL at $94.84 as both weaken; SOL exchange inflows continue
Ethereum traded down 2.34% at $2,284, while Solana fell 2.83% to $94.84. SOL saw net exchange inflows throughout April, including an intraday inflow of 1.81M SOL on April 7, leaving selling pressure in place.
10 · Health & Bio

Health & Bio

On May 12, BMS and Hengrui announced an up-to-$15.2B licensing deal covering 13 programs, reigniting the Big Pharma-China biotech megadeal cycle. The same day, Roche secured a European CE mark for its Alzheimer's blood diagnostic pTau217, while Eli Lilly was reported to have overtaken Novo Nordisk in non-U.S. GLP-1 market share.
BMS signs up-to-$15.2B 13-pipeline megadeal with China's Hengrui
Bristol Myers Squibb signed a global licensing and co-development agreement with Hengrui on May 12 covering 13 early-stage oncology, hematology, and immunology programs. The deal includes a $600M upfront payment and up to $950M in near-term payments, with total potential value reaching $15.2B including milestones and royalties. Hengrui's Hong Kong-listed shares jumped more than 13%.
Roche Alzheimer's blood test pTau217 receives European CE mark
Roche announced on May 12 that its Elecsys plasma pTau217 test, co-developed with Eli Lilly, received the European CE mark. Unlike pTau181, it supports not only ruling out Alzheimer's pathology but also confirming it, reducing the burden of invasive CSF testing and brain imaging. CE-market launch is planned for July 2026.
Eli Lilly overtakes Novo Nordisk in ex-U.S. GLP-1 share
Q1 overseas Mounjaro revenue reached $8.7B, beating consensus and allowing Eli Lilly to overtake Novo Nordisk in non-U.S. GLP-1 market share for the first time. In oral GLP-1s, however, Novo's Wegovy pill launched first in January and appears to be seeing faster early uptake than Lilly's Foundayo, or orforglipron, launched in April.
Trump administration MFN drug-pricing policy reaches voluntary deals with 17 pharma firms
The White House said in May 12 materials that its most-favored-nation drug-pricing policy has secured voluntary agreements with 17 global pharmaceutical companies and would save federal and state Medicaid programs $64.3B over ten years. Industry resistance continues, however, with list prices for 872 branded drugs rising a median 4% so far in 2026.
Rare-disease pipelines advance at AskBio and BridgeBio; telehealth Hims misses
AskBio dosed the first patient in a phase 1/2 gene-therapy trial for late-onset Pompe disease, while BridgeBio filed an FDA new-drug application for encaleret in autosomal dominant hypocalcemia type 1. Meanwhile, as telehealth competition in compounded GLP-1s intensified, Hims & Hers reported quarterly revenue below consensus on May 12 and shares weakened.
11 · Culture

Culture

Park Chan-wook took the stage at the May 12 Cannes opening ceremony as the first Korean jury president in the festival's 79-year history, overseeing 22 competition titles. In North America, The Devil Wears Prada 2 held the box office lead for a second straight week. K-dramas now exceed 30% of global non-English viewing hours as the May release slate ramps up.
Park Chan-wook presides over 79th Cannes opening as first Korean jury president
At the 79th Cannes Film Festival opening ceremony on May 12 at the Palais des Festivals, director Park Chan-wook appeared as the first Korean jury president in the festival's 79-year history. Demi Moore, Chloe Zhao, Stellan Skarsgard, and others joined the jury, which will select the Palme d'Or from 22 competition films by May 23.
Peter Jackson receives honorary Palme d'Or; opening film is The Electric Kiss
Elijah Wood took the stage at the opening ceremony to present Lord of the Rings director Peter Jackson with an honorary Palme d'Or. The opening film was Pierre Salvadori's French period comedy La Venus Electrique, or The Electric Kiss, with 88-year-old Jane Fonda and Gong Li declaring the festival open.
The Devil Wears Prada 2 tops Mother's Day weekend for second straight week with $118.8M global
At the North American box office on May 8-10, The Devil Wears Prada 2 held the top spot with $43M domestic and $118.8M global added. Mortal Kombat 2 opened with $63M globally, including $40M domestic, while Michael crossed $240M cumulative in its third week.
K-drama global viewing hours jump 42%; May slate including The Wonder Fools ramps up
According to FlixPatrol, global K-drama viewing rose 42% YoY and now accounts for more than 30% of non-English viewing hours. My Royal Nemesis premiered May 8 and The Legendary Kitchen Soldier on May 11, while The Wonder Fools, starring Park Eun-bin and Cha Eun-woo, is set for May 15 and expected to rank high on global non-English charts.
Billboard Hot 100: Jennie x Tame Impala's 'Dracula' charts for 31st week; BTS album holds No. 5
On the May 6-12 Billboard Hot 100, Ella Langley's Choosin' Texas reached No. 1, while BLACKPINK Jennie's Tame Impala collaboration Dracula held at No. 18 in its 31st charting week. BTS stayed in the Billboard 200 top five for a sixth straight week, with Arirang at No. 5.
12 · Fashion

Fashion

With Q1 weakness at the luxury big three, LVMH, Kering, and Hermes, rebound signals remain mixed. The May 4 Met Gala Costume Art aftershock and new creative-director debut lineups are steering market mood. Versace and Louis Vuitton are pushing aggressive campaigns and ambassadors, while K-fashion is expanding buyer interest around new keywords such as Organic Monochrome and Halmeoni style.
LVMH, Kering, Hermes Q1 weakness chills luxury rebound thesis
LVMH's Q1 organic revenue missed consensus. Kering reported EUR3.57B in revenue, down 6.2% YoY, while Gucci sales fell 14.3% to EUR1.35B. Hermes maintained growth but still missed market expectations, prompting all three groups to reassess portfolios and store networks.
Met Gala 2026 Costume Art aftershock, Bezos co-chair backlash
Under the May 4 Fashion is Art dress code, Beyonce returned after ten years with 14-year-old Blue Ivy making her debut, while Rihanna wore a Maison Margiela gunmetal gown and Sabrina Carpenter drew headlines. Jeff and Lauren Bezos' honorary-chair selection triggered 'tone deaf' criticism, but experts argue the Met Gala is not in crisis and retains its influence.
Vogue May issue: Meryl Streep x Anna Wintour, 'two Miranda Priestlys'
Vogue's May 2026 cover features The Devil Wears Prada star Meryl Streep and Anna Wintour in Prada looks. A Greta Gerwig conversation and Annie Leibovitz photo spread explore power, fashion, and acting while maximizing sequel marketing and Prada brand exposure.
Versace La Vacanza 2026 campaign; Louis Vuitton names Alysa Liu ambassador
Versace unveiled its Steven Meisel-shot Versace Obsessed campaign on May 7, aiming to revive its resort line. Louis Vuitton named Olympic gold-medal figure skater Alysa Liu a new house ambassador, extending luxury's use of sports stars in brand marketing.
K-fashion expands globally: Concept Korea logs 350+ buyer meetings after Paris show
Brands participating in KOCCA-backed Concept Korea held more than 350 meetings with international buyers after last September's Paris Fashion Week, building the export base for K-fashion. Seoul style keywords for 2026 are settling around Organic Monochrome, a texture-led single-color look, and Halmeoni style, vintage crochet knits and floral midi skirts with chunky sneakers.
13 · Politics

Politics

The Trump administration's Middle East and China diplomacy pressure is colliding with the expiration of the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, pushing the global political calendar into a volatile phase. In Korea, ahead of the June 3 local elections, the Democratic Party leads decisively at 48% support versus 18% for the People Power Party.
Fourth U.S.-Iran nuclear talks stall; Trump calls Iran counteroffer 'totally unacceptable'
The fourth round of U.S.-Iran nuclear talks in Oman on May 11 lasted more than three hours but ended without a breakthrough, with both sides calling it difficult but constructive. Trump dismissed Iran's ceasefire counterproposal as totally unacceptable, and on May 12 the U.S. imposed new sanctions targeting Iranian nuclear research.
U.S.-brokered Russia-Ukraine ceasefire expires as both sides trade violation claims
The 72-hour U.S.-brokered ceasefire agreed for May 9-11 expired on May 11. Russia's defense ministry claimed Ukraine committed 23,802 violations, while Ukraine made similar accusations against Russia. Putin suggested over the weekend that the war is nearing its end but refused direct talks with Zelenskyy.
Korea local elections D-21: Democratic Party 48% vs PPP 18%
A May 7 poll put the ruling Democratic Party at 48% support and the People Power Party at 18%, a 30-point gap. Democrats are foregrounding balanced regional development and AI, while the PPP is prioritizing housing-market normalization, including half-price jeonse, as it tries to narrow the gap in Yeongnam.
Trump-Xi Beijing summit nears, with Taiwan, Iran, and trade on agenda
As Trump prepares for a Beijing summit with Xi Jinping, a senior U.S. official stressed on May 12 that no change is expected in Taiwan policy. Trade, cooperation on Iran sanctions, and Taiwan Strait stability have emerged as key agenda items, while China again blocked Taiwan's participation in the WHA opening May 18.
Trump signs more than 33 executive orders in 2026 as federal courts push back
President Trump has signed 33 executive orders in 2026, from EO 14372 through 14404, with personnel and appointment-related presidential actions also announced on May 11. Many orders face constitutional challenges in federal court, intensifying the power clash with Congress.
14 · Energy & climate

Energy & climate

The de facto blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has entered week eleven, keeping Brent in the $104-110 range and WTI around $101. Aramco's CEO warned normalization may not come before 2027, while TTF and JKM gas prices are also surging. At the same time, the U.S. is set to add a record 86GW of new generation capacity in 2026, 99% from solar, batteries, and wind.
Brent $104 and WTI above $101 as Hormuz blockade enters week eleven
On May 12, Brent rose 0.73% to $104.97/bbl, while WTI closed in the $101 range. Renewed tension followed the May 5 attack on CMA CGM San Antonio and the May 8 seizure of Ocean Koi. Vessel traffic through Hormuz has fallen from a prewar average of 70 ships per day to just 2-5.
Aramco CEO: 100M barrels lost each week, normalization unlikely before 2027
Aramco CEO Amin Nasser said on May 11 that the Hormuz crisis has removed a cumulative 1 billion barrels from global supply and is causing an additional 100 million barrels of losses each week. The IEA called it the largest supply disruption in oil-market history.
Europe TTF at EUR44.7/MWh, Asia JKM near $18 as gas prices jump together
According to the EIA, the Hormuz blockade has cut off roughly one-fifth of global LNG supply, lifting TTF 35% and JKM 51% since late February. As of May 12, TTF stood at EUR44.7/MWh, while Northeast Asia JKM June delivery was around $18/MMBtu.
U.S. shale 2026 outlook cut to 11.09mb/d; DUC wells rise fourth month
The EIA's May Short-Term Energy Outlook cut its 2026 U.S. shale production forecast from 11.25mb/d to 11.09mb/d and lowered total crude output from 13.42mb/d to 13.37mb/d. Drilled but uncompleted wells rose by 25 in May to 5,319, the longest increasing streak since Covid.
U.S. 2026 new generation capacity to hit record 86GW: solar 51%, batteries 28%
The EIA says the U.S. will add 86GW of new generation capacity in 2026, with solar, wind, and batteries accounting for 99%. Planned additions include 43.4GW of solar, up 60% YoY, 24GW of batteries, and 11.8GW of wind. The 800MW Vineyard Wind 1 and 3,650MW SunZia Wind projects also enter commercial operation. EU ETS carbon prices reached EUR75.51/t in April, the highest since February.
15 · Labor & HR

Labor & HR

U.S. Big Tech and finance layoffs are unfolding simultaneously in early May, with roughly 37,000-38,000 cuts announced between May 1 and 10. Meta is set to execute about 8,000 layoffs on May 20, while PayPal, Fidelity, and Samsung are accelerating workforce restructuring under the banner of AI transition and efficiency.
Meta to notify 8,000 layoffs on May 20, about 10% of staff
The 10% reduction Zuckerberg announced in an April 23 internal memo will be delivered on May 20 via work and personal email. U.S. employees receive 16 weeks of base pay plus two additional weeks per year of service and up to 18 months of COBRA health coverage. The move reallocates resources toward $115-135B of 2026 AI infrastructure spending, with additional H2 cuts already flagged.
PayPal confirms 4,760 cuts as new CEO Enrique Lores shifts to AI-native model
PayPal announced on May 5 that it will phase out 4,760 jobs over the next two to three years, about 20% of its 23,800-person workforce. New CEO Enrique Lores said the goal is to reduce organizational layers and accelerate AI and automation, targeting $1.5B in annual cost savings.
Fidelity cuts 800 while hiring thousands, also ends remote work
Fidelity Investments cut about 800 employees, or 1% of staff, on May 7-8 as it reorganized technology and product teams, while also saying it plans to fill more than 2,000 openings, mostly junior engineering roles. It also ordered 25,000 employees in Boston and elsewhere back to the office five days a week from September.
Samsung Electronics wage talks fail; strike possible May 21-June 7
Bloomberg reported May 12 that Samsung Electronics and its union failed to reach a wage deal after two days of labor-ministry mediation. The National Samsung Electronics Union, representing about 30,000 semiconductor workers, is demanding that 15% of AI-boom operating profit be paid as bonuses and that caps be removed. Samsung has sought an injunction to block a strike, with a court decision expected before May 21.
About 38,000 U.S. layoffs in first ten days of May, including 14,000 from Spirit Airlines collapse
American Bazaar counted roughly 37,000-38,000 U.S. layoffs announced from May 1-10, 2026. Spirit Airlines' shutdown eliminated about 14,000 jobs, while Cloudflare (1,100), BILL (up to 30% of staff), and Upwork (about 25%) also disclosed cuts the same week.
16 · Mobility & EV

Mobility & EV

Tesla retook the global EV sales crown from BYD in Q1 2026, but BYD's overseas sales and NEV exports remain strong. CATL is defending share with sodium-ion and ultra-fast-charging technologies, while autonomous-driving and eVTOL players such as Waymo, Joby, and Archer are accelerating expansion.
Tesla retakes global EV sales No. 1 from BYD in Q1 2026
Tesla delivered 358,023 vehicles in Q1 2026, up 6.5% YoY, while BYD's pure-EV deliveries fell 25% to 310,389. Analysts point to China's reduced NEV subsidy cap, 20,000 yuan or about $2,905, as a direct hit to BYD's domestic demand.
BYD leads EV sales in the U.K. and other overseas markets; April NEV exports +70%
BYD has overtaken Tesla, Kia, and VW to become the top EV seller in the U.K. in 2026, while April NEV exports rose 70% YoY to 135,098 units. The pattern is clear: overseas expansion is offsetting domestic softness.
CATL takes 46.64% China battery share in April; LG Energy ternary share plunges
CATL ranked first in China's April power-battery market with 46.64% share, followed by BYD at 16.83%. LG Energy Solution's ternary-battery share plunged from 17.86% in March to 3.02% in April, or 0.35GWh installed. At Beijing Super Tech Day on May 1, CATL unveiled six technologies including third-generation Shenxing 10C ultra-fast-charging batteries and Naxtra sodium-ion cells.
Lucid secures $200M from Uber and $550M from PIF, to supply 35,000 Gravity robotaxis
Lucid received $550M from Saudi Arabia's PIF and $200M from Uber, and agreed to supply 35,000 Gravity SUVs to Uber's robotaxi platform. A May 11 SEC filing showed Dimensional Fund Advisors cut its Lucid stake for a third straight quarter, while Lucid temporarily suspended 2026 production guidance.
Joby and Archer accelerate eVTOL commercialization as ITC patent fight escalates
Joby is preparing Dubai commercial operations with Uber, while Archer is launching in Abu Dhabi and secured 100% FAA acceptance of Means of Compliance for its Midnight aircraft. But the ITC opened an investigation into Joby after Archer's patent-infringement complaint, and Delta warned in May that its Joby partnership could be threatened.
17 · Conspiracy watch

Conspiracy watch

This week on social media, a 'pre-announced pandemic' conspiracy around hantavirus cruise-ship deaths spread alongside fake UFO videos released after the U.S. Department of War name change. Fact-checkers repeatedly classified the posts as AI-generated or missing context.
X post claiming '2026 hantavirus outbreak was predicted in 2022' resurfaces
A June 2022 X post reading '2023: Covid ends / 2026: Hantavirus' spread as alleged evidence of a planned pandemic after the MV Hondius cruise-ship hantavirus cluster. Snopes and Lead Stories found the post really was written in 2022, but said it was unsupported speculation without scientific basis. WHO also assessed risk to the general public as low. Rating: missing context and exaggeration.
Claim: Pfizer document lists hantavirus as Covid vaccine side effect
On May 7, the X account @TheProjectUnity cited page 33 of a Pfizer FOIA document to claim hantavirus pulmonary syndrome had been confirmed as a Covid vaccine side effect. Lead Stories rated the claim false, explaining the page was a list of health conditions to report after vaccination, not confirmed side effects. Reuters reached the same conclusion.
Helicopter-and-orb clip falsely billed as declassified Department of War UFO footage
A video showing an orb flying beside a helicopter spread on Instagram as one of 27 UFO files newly released by the Department of War. Lead Stories compared all 27 released clips and found no match. It also reported that a contemporaneous 1966 UFO video posted by @fabianstelzer carried a Made with AI label. Rating: false and AI-generated.
CBC screenshot claims 89% of Canadians blame Trump for worse economy
An image presented as a CBC News screen was shared tens of thousands of times on X, claiming 89% of Canadians blame Trump for worsening the economy. Lead Stories found it first appeared from a satire account and showed AI-synthesis signals. Rating: false and AI-generated. PolitiFact also warned that AI-generated images tied to the U.S., Middle East, and Canada are being heavily used in political conspiracies this month.
⌚ Watch ahead

Tomorrow & this week

관전 포인트

  • May 13 Cerebras IPO pricingWhether pricing lands near the top of the $150-160 range after 20x oversubscription will set the tone for the AI IPO cycle. First-day volume and volatility on the May 14 Nasdaq listing under ticker CBRS will guide the next AI chip listings.
  • May 14 U.S. Senate CLARITY Act hearingThe clause banning passive stablecoin interest is the key dispute. Polymarket is pricing a 75% chance of passage, and the outcome directly affects BTC and the business models of USDC and USDT issuers.
  • May 15 Powell term expiry and Warsh confirmationAfter the Senate floor vote on Warsh, the June 16-17 FOMC could be chaired by a new Fed chief. A leadership change immediately after the 3.8% CPI shock could reset the next six months of monetary-policy tone.
  • May 20 Meta 8,000 layoff notification dayWith more cuts already flagged through Q4, second-round reductions at PayPal and Fidelity plus Spirit Airlines' 14,000 layoffs in the same week will hit the June nonfarm-payroll data.
  • May 21 Samsung Electronics strike-injunction court decisionA strike involving roughly 30,000 semiconductor workers could create short-term disruption for HBM3E and HBM4 supply, affecting NVIDIA Vera Rubin schedules and SK Hynix's effort to lock in 70% share.
  • May 22 Naver-Dunamu shareholder meetingJust before the FSC's 20% exchange-ownership cap would take effect, sale pressure on chairman Song Chi-hyung's 25.52% stake becomes the pivot for Korean exchange governance.
  • May 23 Cannes Palme d'OrThe first outcome under Park Chan-wook as Cannes' first Korean jury president. If a Korean film wins among the 22 competition titles, global OTT licensing and overseas box-office momentum could surge together.
  • May 28 Bank of Korea Monetary Policy BoardNew Governor Shin Hyun-song's first meeting is expected to signal a tightening turn. Markets will test whether the consensus for a first hike in July and a 3.0% year-end rate is correct.

Global trends across 17 fields, every morning at 6 AM KST

Every morning at 6 AM KST, 17 fields of global headlines on one page. Daily compounds into weekly, monthly, and yearly analysis.